Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.141551 0.160923 0.182347 0.207861 0.237499 0.270940 0.311662
2026-02-08 0.109256 0.134663 0.165460 0.205815 0.257699 0.322704 0.411160
2026-02-15 0.089938 0.117461 0.153111 0.203239 0.272806 0.367278 0.507587
2026-02-22 0.079222 0.108412 0.148318 0.207792 0.295795 0.423803 0.628949
2026-03-01 0.069103 0.098213 0.139799 0.204833 0.306366 0.462931 0.730886
2026-03-08 0.062010 0.091121 0.134362 0.204964 0.320682 0.508930 0.851453
2026-03-15 0.056207 0.085077 0.129478 0.204846 0.333966 0.554633 0.979770
2026-03-22 0.052355 0.081493 0.127806 0.209395 0.355275 0.616877 1.150199
2026-03-29 0.048765 0.077855 0.125504 0.212363 0.373954 0.677105 1.329257
2026-04-05 0.045576 0.074490 0.123191 0.214852 0.391877 0.738572 1.524071
2026-04-12 0.043147 0.072126 0.122268 0.219620 0.414657 0.813218 1.764326
2026-04-19 0.040377 0.068870 0.119376 0.220227 0.429137 0.873061 1.984796
2026-04-26 0.037690 0.065553 0.116119 0.219901 0.442079 0.932908 2.223232
2026-05-03 0.035032 0.062046 0.112157 0.217693 0.450767 0.985100 2.457052
2026-05-10 0.032594 0.058719 0.108187 0.214942 0.457799 1.034696 2.697644
2026-05-17 0.031247 0.057336 0.107849 0.219794 0.482867 1.132838 3.103913
2026-05-24 0.029189 0.054379 0.104063 0.216640 0.488522 1.182993 3.382510
2026-05-31 0.027646 0.052307 0.101876 0.216780 0.502220 1.257026 3.759362
2026-06-07 0.026212 0.050331 0.099695 0.216654 0.515232 1.331885 4.163771
2026-06-14 0.025325 0.049400 0.099636 0.221502 0.541938 1.451280 4.765073
2026-06-21 0.024359 0.048219 0.098919 0.224666 0.564692 1.564179 5.385262
2026-06-28 0.023421 0.047019 0.098040 0.227319 0.586515 1.679283 6.059543
2026-07-05 0.022721 0.046274 0.098116 0.232402 0.616166 1.826409 6.926583